Monday, September 20, 2021

Bitcoin eyes $58K as spot-driven BTC bounce makes rally ‘look sustainable’

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Bitcoin (BTC) is driving excessive on the again of a “very low and wholesome” indicator, in response to one market analyst, which might propel it to a key resistance degree at $58,000.

In a tweet on April 27, analyst Lex Moskovski famous that futures funding charges are suggesting this week’s BTC value run has been fully natural. 

“Low and wholesome” funding charges buoy bulls

Funding charges are a well-liked metric for measuring the well being of BTC value actions. They basically present which merchants are on the suitable facet of the wager (lengthy or quick) — a excessive funding price on a platform means longs are “paying” shorts, whereas low funding charges indicate the other.

Unfavourable charges are what analysts look for when figuring out if any upside is prone to endure, or is due within the quick time period.

Presently, circumstances are proper — the move up to $55,000 was seemingly not fueled by speculative buying and selling motion, says Moskovski.

“Funding could be very low and wholesome,” he wrote.

“This run up in Bitcoin got here from spot and appears sustainable.”

BTC futures perpetual funding rates vs. BTC/USD. Source: Lex Moskovski/ Twitter

Long-term trends remain firmly intact

How high BTC/USD could go and still remain sustainable is Tuesday’s topic of debate among technical observers. For Sven Henrich, creator of analysis firm NorthmanTrader, key Fibonacci levels in particular are worth eyeing.

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Particularly, the 0.618 Fibonacci degree, as ever a supply of assist and resistance goals, now sits at simply above $58,000 — additionally the location of a Bitcoin all-time excessive from February, which held for a number of weeks.

BTC/USD 1-day candle chart (Bitfinex) with Fibonacci retracement ranges. Supply: Sven Henrich/ Twitter

Henrich and in style Twitter account Rekt Capital in the meantime highlighted transferring averages and a 76-day technical uptrend as key to figuring out assist. These have contained BTC/USD all through current value dips, with the 100-day and 21-week figures considered a line within the sand for bulls.

“Value pulled again in the direction of it on the retrace however ultimately did not really contact it. It did not should,” Rekt Capital commented in regards to the 76-day pattern.

Each views point out that past the quick time period, Bitcoin has not crossed any pink strains, which might spell the tip of its bull run.